Investigators:Jared Bosire, James Kairo, Jacob Ochiewo, Jane Ndungu and Bernard Kirui (KMFRI), Salomao Bandeira, Alberto Mavume, Eunice Ribeiro, Célia Macamo, Armindo da Silva, Daniela de Abreu and Mizeque Mafambissa (University of Eduardo Mondlane)
MAP OF STUDY SITES
To be included later
The main objectives will thus be to: 1. Assess forest cover change 2. Analyse drivers of change – both physical and biological factors including human, 3. Conduct vulnerability assessments of study sites to sea level rise, 4. Assess land use changes in the study sites and their real or perceived indirect impacts on mangroves; and 5. Conduct experimental ecosystem restoration using ‘smart” species as part of adaptation process.
Assessment of forest cover change will determine the extent of mangrove die-back and recovery thereof (if any) as a measure of resilience, while assessment of land use change will provide information on the role of land husbandry in aggravating soil erosion and subsequent sedimentation downstream. Mapping of mangrove transgression and sea level scenario modeling coupled with sediment accretion assessment will determine the ability of mangroves in the study areas to adapt to sea level rise. Socio-economic assessments will determine the impact of the real and perceived effects of climate change on local communities, determine their adaptive capacity and corroborate information for mapping.
The proposed project aims to conducts resilience and adaptation assessments of mangroves to climate change impacts in Kenya and Mozambique.